Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
| 47.49% ( | 24.29% ( | 28.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( | 45.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( | 67.71% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.79% ( | 19.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.1% ( | 50.9% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( | 29.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.34% ( | 65.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 47.49% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0-1 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 28.21% |