Major League Soccer

Oct 19, 2024 at 11pm UK

Orlando City Stadium

Orlando City
1 - 2
Atlanta

Ojeda (42')
Ojeda (62'), McGuire (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lobzhanidze (7'), Thiare (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Atlanta United
61.85% ( 0.1)	20.32% ( -0.07)	17.83% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 56.8% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.9% (

0.26)

39.09% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.58% (

0.27)

61.42% (

-0.27)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.84% (

0.1)

12.16% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.23% (

0.22)

37.77% (

-0.22)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66% (

0.12)

35.33% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.9% (

0.13)

72.09% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 61.85%

Atlanta United 17.83%

Draw 20.32%

Orlando City	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 61.85%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.32%	1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 17.83%