Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.