Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Carlos Coronel 70' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 70' yellowcard
  • Rob Valentino 71' yellowcard
  • Rob Valentino 71' yellowcard
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 75' goal
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 75' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 90'+7' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 32'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 32'
  • redcard Dylan Nealis 66'
  • redcard Dylan Nealis 66'
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 69'
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 69'
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 70'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 70'
  • yellowcard Carlos Coronel 70'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 70'
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 90'
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 90'
  • goal Serge Ngoma 90'+14'
  • goal Serge Ngoma 90'+14'

Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta 1 - 2 Montreal
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Saba Lobzhanidze

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
Toronto 1 - 4 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Lewis Morgan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result

Atlanta United 46.71% ▲ (+0.58)
Draw 23.11% ▼ (-0.25)
New York Red Bulls 30.17% ▼ (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.38% ▲ (+0.70)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.3% ▲ (+1.00)
Under 2.5 38.7% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 3.5 39% ▲ (+1.05)
Under 3.5 61% ▼ (-1.05)
Over 4.5 21.34% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 4.5 78.66% ▼ (-0.83)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 83.08% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 0.5 16.92% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 1.5 53.02% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 1.5 46.97% ▼ (-1.08)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 75.08% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 0.5 24.92% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 1.5 40.45% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 1.5 59.54% ▼ (-0.40)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 46.71%
Draw 23.1%
New York Red Bulls 30.17%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 46.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.1%
New York Red Bulls
1-2 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.17%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Sep 22, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 3 2
FT Red Bull Arena
Atlanta
  • 12' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 31' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 31' goal
  • Felipe Carballo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Carlos Coronel 72' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nealis 87' yellowcard
  • Elias Manoel 90'+7' goal
  • Elias Manoel 90'+7' goal
  • goal Aleksei Miranchuk 45'+3'
  • goal Aleksei Miranchuk 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Saba Lobzhanidze 68'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 90'+2'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Atlanta
  • Daniel Edelman 32' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 32' goal
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 45' goal
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 45' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 78' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 78' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 90' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 90' goal
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 7' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 8' goal
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
NY Red Bulls
  • Andrew Gutman 80' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 90'+5' goal
  • goal Lewis Morgan 11'
  • goal John Tolkin 15'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Patryk Klimala 66'
  • yellowcard Carlos Coronel 87'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Jul 1, 2022 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Atlanta
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 28' yellowcard
  • Aaron Long 42' yellowcard
  • Tom Edwards 51' yellowcard
  • Lewis Morgan 82' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 83' goal
  • Serge Ngoma 89' goal
  • yellowcard Amar Sejdic 22'
  • yellowcard Franco Ibarra 45'+3'
  • goal Josef Martinez 75'
  • yellowcard Rocco Rios Novo 82'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 44
NY Red Bulls
Nov 3, 2021 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atlanta
  • Patryk Klimala 52' yellowcard
  • Sean Nealis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 11'
  • yellowcard Anton Walkes 90'+1'

Form Data

Atlanta 1 - 2 Montreal
Philadelphia 1 - 1 Atlanta
NY Red Bulls 2 - 2 Atlanta
Atlanta 2 - 2 Inter Miami
Atlanta 0 - 2 Nashville
Charlotte FC 0 - 1 Atlanta
Toronto 1 - 4 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 1 - 5 NY City
NY Red Bulls 2 - 2 Atlanta
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 1 - 1 Kansas
NY Red Bulls 0 - 2 Philadelphia