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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Atlanta
2 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Miranchuk (75' pen.), Wolff (90+7')
Rode Gregersen (70'), Valentino (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ngoma (90+14')
Tolkin (32'), Schwarz (32'), Forsberg (69'), Coronel (70'), Nealis (70'), Eile (90')
Nealis (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Montreal
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 0-2 New York Red Bulls

Atlanta have not been able to use their desperation in the right way, leaving far too many gaps in behind when pushing for a goal, and we believe that will cost them this weekend against a Red Bulls unit that thrive in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
46.71% (0.575 0.58) 23.11% (-0.244 -0.24) 30.17% (-0.33 -0.33)
Both teams to score 62.38% (0.695 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.3% (0.998 1)38.7% (-0.999 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39% (1.044 1.04)61% (-1.045 -1.05)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08% (0.61 0.61)16.92% (-0.61 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.02% (1.071 1.07)46.97% (-1.071 -1.07)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08% (0.28700000000001 0.29)24.92% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (0.397 0.4)59.54% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 46.71%
    New York Red Bulls 30.17%
    Draw 23.1%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.49% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.118 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.1 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 46.71%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.17%

How you voted: Atlanta vs NY Red Bulls

Atlanta United
53.8%
Draw
15.4%
New York Red Bulls
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
2-2
Atlanta
Vanzeir (31'), Manoel (90+7')
Carballo (45+2'), Coronel (72'), Nealis (87')
Miranchuk (45+3' pen.), Mosquera (90+2')
Lobzhanidze (68')
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
4-0
Atlanta
Edelman (32'), Casseres Jr (45'), Amaya (78', 90')
Casseres Jr (37'), Edelman (54')

Gutman (27'), Chol (82')
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Martinez (90+5')
Gutman (80')
Morgan (11'), Tolkin (15')
Duncan (45+4'), Klimala (66'), Coronel (87')
Jul 1, 2022 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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