Major League Soccer

Sep 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
1 - 5
NY City

Vanzeir (28', 28')
Reyes (14'), Reyes (14'), Schwarz (15'), Schwarz (15'), Stroud (90+5'), Stroud (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-8)

Moralez (5', 5'), Martinez (7', 7', 45+5', 45+5'), Perea (30', 30'), Gray (67', 67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	New York City FC
51.77% ( -0)	24.02% ( 0)	24.21% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.08% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.66% (

-0)

47.34% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.43% (

-0)

69.56% (

0.01)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72%

18.28% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.66% (

-0)

49.34% (

0.01)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.17% (

33.83% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.51% (

-0)

70.49% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 51.76%

New York City FC 24.21%

Draw 24.02%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.48% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.76%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.21%