Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 53.63% | 21.99% ( | 24.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.03% ( | 37.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.77% ( | 60.23% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.76% ( | 14.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58% ( | 41.99% ( |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( | 28.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( | 64.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-2 @ 3.94% ( 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.63% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 3-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 24.37% |