Major League Soccer

Sep 22, 2024 at 11.15pm UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
4 - 0
DC United

Uhre (13'), Gazdag (16', 70'), Baribo (51')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Herrera (25'), Dajome (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY City 1-5 Philadelphia
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

DC United

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: DC United 1-1 NY City
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for DC United had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	DC United
50.26% ( 0.04)	23.2% ( -0.01)	26.53% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 59.2% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.34% (

0.01)

41.65% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.94% (

0.01)

64.05% (

-0.02)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.28% (

0.02)

16.71% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.38% (

0.04)

46.61% (

-0.04)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.08% (

-0.02)

28.91% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.2% (

-0.02)

64.79% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 50.26%

DC United 26.53%

Draw 23.2%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	DC United
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 50.26%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.2%	1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 26.53%