Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT BMO Field
  • Jonathan Osorio 30' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio 30' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 43' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 43' yellowcard
  • Prince Osei Owusu 66' goal
  • Prince Osei Owusu 66' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 75' redcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 75' redcard
  • Kosi Thompson 80' yellowcard
  • Kosi Thompson 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Meara 23'
  • yellowcard Ryan Meara 23'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 27'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 27'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 38'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 38'
  • goal John Tolkin 48'
  • goal John Tolkin 48'
  • goal Lewis Morgan 69'
  • goal Lewis Morgan 69'
  • goal Elias Manoel 88'
  • goal Elias Manoel 88'

Toronto vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 1.30am
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Toronto
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 1 - 5 NY City
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Lewis Morgan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result

Toronto 40.61% (+0.04)
Draw 24.95% (+0.01)
New York Red Bulls 34.44% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.6% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.28% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.72% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 31.96% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 68.04% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 16.05% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.95% (+0.04)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 77.57%
Under 0.5 22.44% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.03% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.97% (+0.02)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 74.27% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 25.74% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 39.34% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 60.67% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Toronto 40.61%
Draw 24.95%
New York Red Bulls 34.44%
Toronto
2-1 @ 8.75% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.63% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.45% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.77% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.95%
New York Red Bulls
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.84% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 34.44%

Head to Head

Leagues Cup
Jul 28, 2024 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 25'
Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
  • Elias Manoel 30' goal
  • Elias Manoel 30' goal
  • Dennis Gjengaar 47' goal
  • Dennis Gjengaar 47' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 68' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 68' yellowcard
  • Cameron Harper 75' goal
  • Cameron Harper 75' goal
  • Noah Eile 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 54'
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 54'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 86'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 86'
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Tom Barlow 45' goal
  • Tom Barlow 45' goal
  • Luquinhas 48' goal
  • Luquinhas 48' goal
  • Luquinhas 65' goal
  • Luquinhas 65' goal
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lewis Morgan 2' goal
  • Dylan Nealis 37' yellowcard
  • Luquinhas 56' goal
  • Cameron Harper 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ayomide Akinola 26'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 31'
  • yellowcard Luca Petrasso 61'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Mar 5, 2022 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 4
FT
  • Jesus Jimenez 35' goal
  • Carlos Salcedo 61' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Morgan 17'
  • goal Lewis Morgan 24'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nealis 31'
  • goal Lewis Morgan 40'
  • goal Aaron Long 42'
  • yellowcard Patryk Klimala 67'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 86'