Major League Soccer

Sep 29, 2024 at 1.30am UK

SeatGeek Stadium

Chicago Fire
1 - 1
Toronto

Dean (84', 84')
Gimenez (17'), Gimenez (17'), Acosta (58'), Acosta (58'), Czichos (90+1'), Omsberg (90+3'), Czichos (90+1'), Omsberg (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Osei Owusu (45+4' pen., 45+4' pen.)
Osorio (45+11'), Osorio (45+11'), O'Neill (60'), O'Neill (60'), Johnson (83'), Johnson (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Toronto

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Colorado 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Toronto
46.8% ( -1.96)	24.36% ( 0.28)	28.84% ( 1.68)

Both teams to score 57.08% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.71% (

-0.12)

45.29% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.37% (

-0.12)

67.63% (

0.11)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.53% (

-0.84)

19.46% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.68% (

-1.4)

51.32% (

1.4)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

1.16)

29.12% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

1.41)

65.05% (

-1.41)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 46.8%

Toronto 28.84%

Draw 24.36%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.09% Total : 46.8%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.36%	1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.84%