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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Orlando City

Cincinnati
1 - 3
Orlando City

Acosta (45', 45')
Kelsy (35'), Kelsy (35')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Enrique (10', 10', 72', 72'), Angulo (66', 66')
Cartagena (17'), Cartagena (17'), Jansson (90+7'), Schlegel (90+7'), Jansson (90+7'), Schlegel (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 3-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
52.9% (0.104 0.1)21.73% (-0.128 -0.13)25.37% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.32% (0.498 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.28% (0.644 0.64)35.72% (-0.644 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.21% (0.707 0.71)57.79% (-0.70800000000001 -0.71)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.31% (0.254 0.25)13.69% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.08% (0.505 0.51)40.92% (-0.506 -0.51)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.36199999999999 0.36)26.63% (-0.364 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.475 0.48)61.87% (-0.478 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 52.9%
    Orlando City 25.37%
    Draw 21.73%
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.18% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.08% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 52.9%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.65% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.73%
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.83% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.37%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Orlando City

FC Cincinnati
38.5%
Draw
30.8%
Orlando City
30.8%
13
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 12.30am
Orlando City
0-1
Cincinnati

Araujo (30'), Jansson (62'), Murphy (64'), Halliday (90+1')
Schlegel (23')
Acosta (1')
Halsey (55'), Cartagena (56'), Halliday (66'), Valenzuela (90')
Halsey (78')
Sep 3, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Orlando City

Acosta (44'), Boupendza (90+4')
Torres (44')
Santos (13'), Dan Thor­halls­son (41'), Araujo (55'), Gallese (90+11'), Urso (90+5')
Cartagena (90+5')
Jun 25, 2022 12.30am
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am