Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.