Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Orlando City |
| 52.9% ( | 21.73% ( | 25.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.28% ( | 35.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.21% ( | 57.79% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.31% ( | 13.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.08% ( | 40.92% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( | 26.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( | 61.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-2 @ 4.18% ( 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 4-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 52.9% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.37% |