Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 19' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 19' yellowcard
  • Facundo Torres 57' goal
  • Facundo Torres 57' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 64' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 64' goal
  • Facundo Torres 69' yellowcard
  • Facundo Torres 69' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 68'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 72'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 72'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 74'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 74'
  • yellowcard Mikael Uhre 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mikael Uhre 90'+1'

Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 1.30am
Dallas 1 - 3 Orlando City
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Facundo Torres

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia 1 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Orlando City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Orlando City.

Result

Orlando City 66.57% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 18.86% ▲ (+0.09)
Philadelphia Union 14.57% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.37% ▼ (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.35% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 38.66% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 39.04% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 60.96% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 4.5 21.38% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 4.5 78.62% ▲ (+0.21)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 89.23% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 10.77% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 65.23% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 34.77% ▲ (+0.25)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 60.93% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 39.07% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 24.21% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 75.79% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Orlando City 66.56%
Draw 18.86%
Philadelphia Union 14.57%
Orlando City
2-0 @ 10.44% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 66.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.86%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 14.57%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
May 12, 2024 12.30am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Subaru Park
Orlando City
  • Mikael Uhre 12' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 12' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 66' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 66' goal
  • Damion Lowe 81' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 81' yellowcard
  • goal Duncan McGuire 21'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 21'
  • goal Luis Muriel 42'
  • goal Luis Muriel 42'
  • goal Luis Muriel 46'
  • goal Luis Muriel 47'
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 87'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 87'
  • yellowcard Kyle Smith 89'
  • yellowcard Duncan McGuire 90'
  • yellowcard Kyle Smith 90'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Exploria Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Duncan McGuire 13' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 13' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 54' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 54' goal
  • goal Jack McGlynn 60'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 60'
  • goal Jose Andres Martinez 90'
  • goal Jose Andres Martinez 90'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Talen Energy Stadium
Orlando City
  • Andres Perea 17' goal
  • goal Martin Ojeda 2'
  • goal Ivan Angulo 9'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Orlando City
  • Olivier Mbaizo 39' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 43' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 55' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 63' goal
  • Jack Elliott 87' goal
  • goal Andres Perea 75'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Philadelphia
  • Ercan Kara 31' yellowcard
  • Joao Moutinho 37' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 8'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 39'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 44'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 34
Philadelphia
Sep 19, 2021 9.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Orlando City
  • Kai Wagner 37' goal
  • Leon Flach 53' yellowcard
  • Kacper Przybylko 61' goal
  • Kacper Przybylko 89' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 33'
  • goal Ruan 57'
  • yellowcard Ruan 59'
  • yellowcard Benji Michel 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 80'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 80'
  • yellowcard Raul Aguilera 86'
  • redcard Antonio Carlos 88'

Form Data

Dallas 1 - 3 Orlando City
Columbus Crew 4 - 3 Orlando City
Orlando City 2 - 0 Charlotte FC
Orlando City 3 - 0 New England
Orlando City 3 - 0 Nashville
Kansas 3 - 0 Orlando City
Philadelphia 1 - 1 Atlanta
Philadelphia 4 - 0 DC United
NY City 1 - 5 Philadelphia
Inter Miami 3 - 1 Philadelphia
NY Red Bulls 0 - 2 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 0 - 1 Columbus Crew