Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 47.23% ( | 24.9% ( | 27.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( | 48.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( | 70.37% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( | 20.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.07% ( | 52.92% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% ( | 31.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.29% ( | 67.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.22% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.87% |