Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.