Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 60.14%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 21.84% and a draw had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.14%) and 3-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (4.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.