Major League Soccer

Oct 6, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Austin

Pec (31', 31'), Joveljic (76', 76')
Brugman (8'), Brugman (8'), Puig (14'), Puig (14'), Delgado (60'), Delgado (60'), Micovic (61'), Micovic (61'), Wolff (87'), Joveljic (90+5'), Cerrillo (90+11'), Joveljic (90+5'), Cerrillo (90+11')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Driussi (55', 55')
Hines-Ike (26'), Hines-Ike (26'), Pereira (31'), Pereira (31'), Cascante (50'), Cascante (50'), Wolff (87')
Biro (90+13'), Biro (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 1-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 0-1 Austin
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.99%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.97% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Austin FC
58.99% ( -0.4)	19.04% ( 0.15)	21.97% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 69.24% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.68% (

-0.39)

26.31% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.38% (

-0.51)

46.62% (

0.51)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.95% (

-0.21)

9.04% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.23% (

-0.5)

30.77% (

0.5)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.13% (

-0.05)

23.87% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.94% (

-0.06)

58.06% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 58.99%

Austin FC 21.97%

Draw 19.04%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Austin FC
2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.54% Total : 58.99%	1-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.04%	1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 21.97%