Major League Soccer

Oct 20, 2024 at 2am UK

Al Saqr Stadium

Austin
3 - 2
Colorado

Driussi (8' pen., 8' pen.), Finlay (90+1', 90+1'), Hines-Ike (90+3', 90+3')
Cascante (3'), Cascante (3'), Jimenez (28'), Jimenez (28'), Ring (45+4'), Ring (45+4'), Svatok (61'), Svatok (61'), Gallagher (73'), Gallagher (73')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Navarro (42', 42'), Fernandez (75' pen., 75' pen.)
Abubakar (30'), Abubakar (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Austin
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Colorado Rapids

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, October 6 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Colorado Rapids
51.32% ( -0.02)	22.24% ( 0.32)	26.44% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 62.55% (

-1.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.81% (

-1.8)

37.19% (

1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.6% (

-1.97)

59.4% (

1.98)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.28% (

-0.65)

14.72% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.07% (

-1.25)

42.93% (

1.26)

Colorado Rapids Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

-1.16)

26.64% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.12% (

-1.56)

61.88% (

1.56)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 51.32%

Colorado Rapids 26.44%

Draw 22.24%

Austin FC	Draw	Colorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.23% Total : 51.32%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.44%