MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals

Nov 24, 2024 at 11.15pm UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
6 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Pec (1', 50'), Joveljic (18', 89'), Paintsil (37', 86')
Paintsil (45'), Puig (58'), Delgado (90+4')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Yeboah (6', 45+4' pen.)
Hlongwane (53'), Dotson (62'), Abel Diaz Beleno (68')
Abel Diaz Beleno (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: Colorado 1-4 LA Galaxy
Saturday, November 2 at 1.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Salt Lake (3-1 pen.)
Sunday, November 3 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.47%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.96% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Minnesota United
58.47% ( -0.55)	19.58% ( 0.19)	21.96% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 67.07% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.96% (

-0.42)

29.04% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.97% (

-0.52)

50.03% (

0.52)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.01% (

-0.26)

9.99% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67% (

-0.6)

32.99% (

0.61)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

0.04)

25.49% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.66% (

0.06)

60.33% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 58.47%

Minnesota United 21.96%

Draw 19.58%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.8% Total : 58.47%	1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.58%	1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 21.96%