Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.47%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.96% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.