Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-4 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.