Real Salt Lake
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Oct 30, 2024 at 12.50am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
Minnesota United

Salt Lake
0 - 0
Minnesota Utd

FT

Abel Diaz Beleno (8'), Trapp (80')
Minnesota Utd win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Minnesota United

All competitions
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 4-1 St Louis City
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 60.54%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.85% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 3-1 (7.21%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawMinnesota United
60.54% (-0.496 -0.5)19.6% (0.093 0.09)19.85% (0.403 0.4)
Both teams to score 63.41% (0.381 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.73% (0.179 0.18)32.26% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.13% (0.208 0.21)53.87% (-0.21 -0.21)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.55% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)10.44% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.96% (-0.161 -0.16)34.04% (0.16 0.16)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (0.48399999999999 0.48)29.2% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (0.59099999999999 0.59)65.14% (-0.593 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 60.54%
    Minnesota United 19.85%
    Draw 19.6%
Real Salt LakeDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.44% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.08% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.31% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.84% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 60.54%
1-1 @ 8.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.066 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.6%
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.074 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 19.85%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Minnesota Utd

Real Salt Lake
79.4%
Draw
8.8%
Minnesota United
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2024 2.30am
Salt Lake
0-0
Minnesota Utd
Vera (32'), Arango (90')
Vera (90+3')
Abel Diaz Beleno (5'), Dotson (24'), Yeboah (34'), Boxall (89')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Salt Lake
Oluwaseyi (86')
Rosales (40'), Trapp (45+1')
Rosales (89')
Arango (24')
Katranis (64'), MacMath (82'), Eneli (90+1')
> Preview
Jun 25, 2023 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-2
Minnesota Utd
Musovski (79'), Glad (90+8')
Silva (58')
Dotson (27'), Reynoso (39')
Irwin (90+2')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Salt Lake
Glad (31' og.)
Amarilla (4'), Taylor (73')
Savarino (28')
Glad (45+7'), Ojeda (59'), Rubin (71'), Mastroeni (73')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2022 2.30am
Salt Lake
3-0
Minnesota Utd
> Preview