Major League Soccer

Oct 20, 2024 at 2am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
4 - 1
St Louis City

Lod (21', 21'), Sang-bin (72', 72', 84', 84'), Kessler (78' og., 78' og.)
Pereyra (59'), Pereyra (59'), Yeboah (66'), Yeboah (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hartel (75', 75')
Alm (74'), Alm (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Houston
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 60.78%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 19.91% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	St Louis City
60.78% ( -0.33)	19.31% ( 0.08)	19.91% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 64.67% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.3% (

-0.02)

30.69% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.97% (

-0.03)

52.02% (

0.03)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.08% (

-0.09)

9.92% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.15% (

-0.2)

32.84% (

0.2)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.8% (

0.21)

28.2% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.1% (

0.26)

63.89% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 60.78%

St Louis City 19.91%

Draw 19.31%

Minnesota United	Draw	St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 60.78%	1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 19.31%	1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 19.91%