Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.