Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
3
2
HT : 4 2
FT MAPFRE Stadium
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 4' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 4' goal
  • Marcelo Herrera 14' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Herrera 14' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Farsi 41' goal
  • Mohamed Farsi 41' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 76' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 76' goal
  • Yevgen Cheberko 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Yevgen Cheberko 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Nathan Harriel 25'
  • goal Nathan Harriel 25'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 78'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 78'

Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 12.45am
Columbus Crew 2 - 3 Inter Miami
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Juan Camilo Hernandez

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
Orlando City 2 - 1 Philadelphia
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.68%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result

Columbus Crew 59.68% (-5.01)
Draw 19.53% (+1.26)
Philadelphia Union 20.79% (+3.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.34% (+2.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.52% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 30.48% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 48.23% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 51.77% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 29.13% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 70.87% (-0.14)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5 89.88% (-1.13)
Under 0.5 10.13% (+1.14)
Over 1.5 66.69% (-2.67)
Under 1.5 33.32% (+2.68)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 72.7% (+3.69)
Under 0.5 27.3% (-3.68)
Over 1.5 37.26% (+4.55)
Under 1.5 62.75% (-4.54)

Score analysis

Columbus Crew 59.68%
Draw 19.54%
Philadelphia Union 20.79%
Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.84)
3-1 @ 7.18% (-0.43)
1-0 @ 6.33% (-0.38)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.96)
3-2 @ 4.66% (+0.21)
4-1 @ 4.11% (-0.47)
4-0 @ 3.17% (-0.75)
4-2 @ 2.67% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.33)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.44)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.07)
4-3 @ 1.16% (+0.11)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 59.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.22% (+0.36)
2-2 @ 6.11% (+0.57)
0-0 @ 2.77% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.02% (+0.28)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 19.54%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 5.34% (+0.73)
0-1 @ 3.59% (+0.33)
2-3 @ 2.64% (+0.48)
0-2 @ 2.33% (+0.42)
1-3 @ 2.31% (+0.52)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-73.70)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 20.79%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 29, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Kai Wagner 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 45'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derrick Jones 3'
  • yellowcard Derrick Jones 3'
  • goal Yaw Yeboah 75'
  • goal Yaw Yeboah 75'
  • yellowcard Malte Amundsen 89'
  • yellowcard Malte Amundsen 89'
  • yellowcard Patrick Schulte 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Patrick Schulte 90'+6'
Leagues Cup
Aug 22, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 4 2
FT Lower.com Field
  • Diego Rossi 12' goal
  • Diego Rossi 12' goal
  • Diego Rossi 43' goal
  • Diego Rossi 43' goal
  • Sean Zawadzki 49' yellowcard
  • Sean Zawadzki 49' yellowcard
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 53' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 53' goal
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 32'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 32'
  • yellowcard Jesus Bueno 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jesus Bueno 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT MAPFRE Stadium
  • Malte Amundsen 67' yellowcard
  • Malte Amundsen 67' yellowcard
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 72' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 72' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 84' yellowcard
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 84' yellowcard
  • goal Nathan Harriel 50'
  • goal Nathan Harriel 50'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 52'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 52'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 71'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 71'
  • yellowcard Jesus Bueno 72'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 72'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 72'
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Talen Energy Stadium
  • Daniel Gazdag 45'+3' goal
  • Julian Carranza 52' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 72' goal
  • Julian Carranza 80' goal
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 28' (OG)
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonathan Mensah 1' yellowcard
  • Lucas Zelarayan 36' yellowcard
  • Erik Hurtado 39' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 43' yellowcard
  • Steven Moreira 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 39'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 61'
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2022 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Eloy Room 2' goal
  • Quinn Sullivan 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven Moreira 66'