Major League Soccer

Oct 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK

MAPFRE Stadium

Columbus Crew
3 - 2
Philadelphia

Camilo Hernandez (4', 4', 76', 76'), Farsi (41', 41')
Herrera (14'), Herrera (14'), Cheberko (90+2'), Cheberko (90+2')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Harriel (25', 25'), McGlynn (78', 78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-3 Inter Miami
Thursday, October 3 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.68%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	Philadelphia Union
59.68% ( -5.01)	19.53% ( 1.25)	20.79% ( 3.76)

Both teams to score 65.34% (

2.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.52% (

0.14)

30.48% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.23% (

0.16)

51.77% (

-0.16)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.88% (

-1.13)

10.13% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.69% (

-2.66)

33.32% (

2.67)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7% (

3.69)

27.3% (

-3.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.26% (

4.55)

62.75% (

-4.54)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 59.68%

Philadelphia Union 20.79%

Draw 19.54%

Columbus Crew	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.83) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.42) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.38) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.96) 3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.47) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.74) 4-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.32) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.43) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.64% Total : 59.68%	1-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.28) Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.54%	1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.73) 0-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.51) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.26) Other @ 3.57% Total : 20.79%