Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
52.91% ( -0.47)	22.25% ( 0.23)	24.84% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 60.85% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.28% (

-0.85)

38.71% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.98% (

-0.9)

61.02% (

0.9)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.27% (

-0.45)

14.73% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.05% (

-0.87)

42.94% (

0.87)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36% (

-0.27)

28.64% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55% (

-0.34)

64.45% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 52.91%

New York Red Bulls 24.84%

Draw 22.24%

New York City FC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.91%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 24.84%