Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Caden Clark 18' goal
  • Josef Martinez 45'+1' goal
  • Caden Clark 59' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 7'
  • yellowcard Keaton Parks 69'
  • yellowcard Birk Risa 90'

CF Montreal vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
Charlotte FC 2 - 0 Montreal
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Josef Martinez

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 9.25pm
NY City 3 - 1 Nashville
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Alonso Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result

CF Montreal 40.12% (+0.01)
Draw 24.31% (-0.02)
New York City FC 35.57% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.11% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.44% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 42.56% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 35.04% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 64.96% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 18.29% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 81.7% (-0.07)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 78.7% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 21.3% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 45.76% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 54.24% (-0.07)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 76.38% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 23.62% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 42.29% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 57.71% (-0.06)

Score analysis

CF Montreal 40.12%
Draw 24.31%
New York City FC 35.57%
CF Montreal
2-1 @ 8.68%
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.73% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.26% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.31%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 8.1% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.9% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.57%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Citi Field
  • Alonso Martinez 9' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 9' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 56' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 56' goal
  • James Sands 90'+3' yellowcard
  • James Sands 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Campbell 52'
  • yellowcard George Campbell 52'
Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Andres Jasson 29' goal
  • Andres Jasson 30' goal
  • Monsef Bakrar 37' goal
  • Monsef Bakrar 37' goal
  • Andres Perea 58' yellowcard
  • Andres Perea 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 45'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 45'
Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 2.03am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Saputo
  • goal Matias Pellegrini 33'
  • goal Matias Pellegrini 33'
MLS Playoffs
Oct 23, 2022 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Djordje Mihailovic 85' goal
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 6'
  • goal Heber 45'+3'
  • goal Talles Magno 61'
Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alistair Johnston 35' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 53' yellowcard
Major League Soccer Gameweek 3
Mar 12, 2022 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Alexander Callens 7' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 20' goal
  • Alfredo Morales 22' yellowcard
  • Talles Magno 64' goal
  • Thiago Andrade 83' goal
  • yellowcard Matko Miljevic 36'
  • goal Zachary Brault-Guillard 52'