Major League Soccer

Oct 6, 2024 at 9.25pm UK

Red Bull Arena

NY City
3 - 1
Nashville

Rodriguez (1', 19'), Martinez (21')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Williams (58')
Zimmerman (45+2'), Yazbek (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 3-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 3-4 DC United
Thursday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Nashville SC
61.71% ( 0.01)	19.95% ( -0)	18.33% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.16% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.51% (

-0)

36.49% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.36% (

-0)

58.63% (

-0)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.59%

11.4% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.83% (

36.16% (

-0.01)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.77% (

-0.01)

33.22% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.16% (

-0.01)

69.83% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 61.71%

Nashville SC 18.33%

Draw 19.95%

New York City FC	Draw	Nashville SC
2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.92% 4-1 @ 3.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.52% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.57% Total : 61.71%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.95%	1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 18.33%