Major League Soccer

Oct 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Geodis Park

Nashville
3 - 4
DC United

Muyl (6', 6', 62', 62'), Williams (45', 45')
Zimmerman (75'), Zimmerman (75'), Bunbury (83'), Bunbury (83'), Lovitz (90+2'), Lovitz (90+2')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Bartlett (24', 24'), Benteke (76', 76'), Pirani (90+4', 90+7', 90+4', 90+7')
McVey (38'), McVey (38'), Lesesne (39'), Lesesne (39'), Herrera (41'), Herrera (41'), Bartlett (43'), Bartlett (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: New England 1-0 Nashville
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	DC United
44.48% ( -1.72)	24.78% ( 0.18)	30.74% ( 1.54)

Both teams to score 56.8% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.84% (

-0)

46.16% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.54%

68.46% (

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.18% (

-0.75)

20.82% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.51% (

-1.19)

53.49% (

1.19)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74% (

1.06)

28.26% (

-1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.03% (

1.31)

63.97% (

-1.31)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 44.48%

DC United 30.74%

Draw 24.78%

Nashville SC	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.48%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.74%