Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.