MLS Playoffs
Oct 28, 2024 10.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
  • Luca Orellano 29' yellowcard
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 51' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Sands 41'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 82'
  • redcard Tayvon Gray 90'+9'

FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

New York City FC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result

FC Cincinnati 51.71% (-0.51)
Draw 22.19% (+0.09)
New York City FC 26.1% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.39% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.74% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 37.26% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 40.53% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 59.47% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 22.57% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 77.43% (+0.01)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 85.38% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 14.62% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 57.27% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 42.72% (+0.33)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 73.08% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 26.92% (-0.31)
Over 1.5 37.75% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 62.25% (-0.40)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 51.71%
Draw 22.19%
New York City FC 26.1%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 51.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.26% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.94% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.19%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 6.52% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 5.16% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.39% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.85% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.74% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 26.1%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Mitja Ilencic 16' goal
  • Mitja Ilencic 16' goal
  • James Sands 41' yellowcard
  • James Sands 41' yellowcard
  • Alonso Martinez 65' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 65' goal
  • Thiago Martins 66' yellowcard
  • Thiago Martins 67' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 75' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 75' goal
  • Andres Perea 84' yellowcard
  • Andres Perea 84' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Hannes Wolf 90'+14' yellowcard
  • Hannes Wolf 90'+14' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Kelsy 34'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kelsy 34'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 69'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 69'
  • goal Corey Baird 90'+6'
  • goal Corey Baird 90'+6'
Leagues Cup
Aug 6, 2024 1.00am
4
2
HT : 0 2
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
  • Obinna Nwobodo 78' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 78' yellowcard
  • Pavel Bucha 79' goal
  • Pavel Bucha 79' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 82' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 82' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 86' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 86' goal
  • Sergio Santos 89' goal
  • Sergio Santos 89' goal
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 25'
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 25'
  • yellowcard Julian Fernandez 33'
  • yellowcard Julian Fernandez 33'
  • goal Jovan Mijatovic 61'
  • goal Jovan Mijatovic 61'
  • yellowcard Hannes Wolf 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Hannes Wolf 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Kipp Keller 15' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 20' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 57' goal
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 45'+5'
Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Aaron Boupendza 6' goal
  • Aaron Boupendza 6' goal
  • Matt Miazga 45' yellowcard
  • Matt Miazga 45' yellowcard
  • Yuya Kubo 50' yellowcard
  • Yuya Kubo 50' yellowcard
  • Junior Moreno 52' goal
  • Junior Moreno 52' goal
  • Nick Hagglund 59' goal
  • Nick Hagglund 59' goal
  • yellowcard Birk Risa 88'
  • yellowcard Birk Risa 88'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Braian Cufre 64' goal
  • Braian Cufre 64' goal
  • goal Luciano Acosta 38'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 38'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 59'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 59'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 70'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 70'
Major League Soccer
Sep 8, 2022 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gabriel Pereira 41' goal
  • goal Thiago Martins 22' (OG)