Major League Soccer

Oct 19, 2024 at 11pm UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Sullivan (2')
Baribo (59'), Elliott (66'), Wagner (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rodrigo Asad (45+4'), Glesnes (46' og.)
Nwobodo (64'), Rodrigo Asad (68'), Orellano (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	FC Cincinnati
46.4% ( 0.24)	22.82% ( -0.06)	30.78% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 63.82% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.05% (

0.18)

36.95% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.86% (

0.2)

59.13% (

-0.2)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.64% (

0.16)

16.36% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.02% (

0.29)

45.98% (

-0.29)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31% (

-0.02)

23.69% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.19% (

-0.03)

57.81% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 46.4%

FC Cincinnati 30.78%

Draw 22.82%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.63% Total : 46.4%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.82%	1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.78%