Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Subaru Park
Cincinnati
  • Quinn Sullivan 2' goal
  • Tai Baribo 59' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 66' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 46' (OG)
  • goal Yamil Rodrigo Asad 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 64'
  • yellowcard Yamil Rodrigo Asad 68'
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 80'

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
Columbus Crew 3 - 2 Philadelphia
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati 1 - 3 Orlando City
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Philadelphia Union 46.4% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 22.82% ▼ (-0.06)
FC Cincinnati 30.78% ▼ (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.82% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.05% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 36.95% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 40.86% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 59.13% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 4.5 22.84% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 77.16% ▼ (-0.17)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 83.64% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 16.36% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 54.02% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 45.98% ▼ (-0.30)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 76.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 57.81% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 46.4%
Draw 22.82%
FC Cincinnati 30.78%
Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 46.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.82%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.78%

Head to Head

Leagues Cup
Cincinnati
Aug 14, 2024 12.30am
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Miles Robinson 43' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 43' yellowcard
  • Pavel Bucha 66' goal
  • Pavel Bucha 66' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 80' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 80' goal
  • goal Mikael Uhre 4'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 52'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 52'
  • goal Tai Baribo 61'
  • goal Tai Baribo 61'
  • goal Tai Baribo 81'
  • goal Tai Baribo 81'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 84'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 84'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Jun 20, 2024 12.45am
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Kipp Keller 6' yellowcard
  • Kipp Keller 6' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kelsy 29' goal
  • Kevin Kelsy 29' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 49' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 49' goal
  • Luca Orellano 60' goal
  • Luca Orellano 60' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 90'+10' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 90'+10' goal
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 12'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 12'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 12'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 12'
  • goal Tai Baribo 43'
  • goal Tai Baribo 43'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 55'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 55'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 81'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 81'
  • goal Tai Baribo 90'+1'
  • goal Tai Baribo 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Nov 26, 2023 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Ray Gaddis 30' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 76' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 76' yellowcard
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+4' goal
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 11'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 51'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Subaru Park
Cincinnati
  • Jack Elliott 19' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 19' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 21' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 21' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 37' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 37' goal
  • Damion Lowe 42' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 42' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 63' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 63' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 74' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 74' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 85' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 85' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 90'+4' redcard
  • Jack Elliott 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 18'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 18'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 35'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 35'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 36'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 36'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 49'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 49'
  • yellowcard Nick Hagglund 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Nick Hagglund 45'+4'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 76'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 76'
  • redcard Yerson Mosquera 83'
  • redcard Yerson Mosquera 83'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Philadelphia
  • Luciano Acosta 69' goal
MLS Playoffs
Philadelphia
Oct 21, 2022 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Cincinnati
  • Leon Flach 59' goal

Form Data

Columbus Crew 3 - 2 Philadelphia
Orlando City 2 - 1 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 1 - 1 Atlanta
Philadelphia 4 - 0 DC United
NY City 1 - 5 Philadelphia
Inter Miami 3 - 1 Philadelphia
Cincinnati 1 - 3 Orlando City
NY City 3 - 2 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 2 Los Angeles
Nashville 2 - 2 Cincinnati
Minnesota Utd 1 - 2 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 0 - 0 Columbus Crew