FC Cincinnati
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 9, 2024 at 9pm UK
Nippert Stadium
New York City

Cincinnati
0 - 0
NY City


Bucha (65'), Powell (85'), Awaziem (90')
FT

Parks (11'), O'Toole (83'), Rodriguez (89')
NY City win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: NY City 3-1 Cincinnati
Saturday, November 2 at 9pm in MLS Playoffs

New York City FC

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: NY City 3-1 Cincinnati
Saturday, November 2 at 9pm in MLS Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
49.98% (-0.175 -0.18)23.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.96% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 60.14% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.41% (0.166 0.17)40.58% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.03% (0.16800000000001 0.17)62.96% (-0.171 -0.17)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)16.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.92% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)46.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (0.21499999999999 0.21)28.04% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (0.273 0.27)63.69% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 49.98%
    New York City FC 26.96%
    Draw 23.04%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 49.98%
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.04%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 26.96%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY City

FC Cincinnati
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
New York City FC
50.0%
18
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 9pm
MLS Cup Round One
NY City
3-1
Cincinnati
Martinez (22'), Martins (40'), Rodriguez (90+7' pen.)
Rodriguez (53'), Sands (72')
Orellano (65')
Bucha (43'), Yedlin (56'), Kubo (68')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2024 10.45pm
MLS Cup Round One
Cincinnati
1-0
NY City
Rodrigo Asad (51')
Orellano (29'), Rodrigo Asad (89')

Sands (41'), Moralez (82')
Gray (90+9')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
NY City
3-2
Cincinnati
Ilencic (16'), Martinez (65'), Rodriguez (75' pen.)
Sands (41'), Martins (66'), Perea (84'), Gray (90+1'), Wolf (90+14')
Acosta (69' pen.), Baird (90+6')
Kelsy (34')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Cincinnati
4-2
NY City
Bucha (79'), Rodrigo Asad (82'), Kubo (86'), Santos (89')
Nwobodo (78')
Rodriguez (25'), Mijatovic (61')
Fernandez (33'), Wolf (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
Cincinnati
1-0
NY City
Acosta (57')
Acosta (20')

Perea (45+5')
> Preview