Major League Soccer

Feb 23, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Dr. DY Patil Stadium

Cincinnati
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Denkey (70', 70')
Nwobodo (64'), Nwobodo (64'), Baird (88'), Baird (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hack (59'), Hack (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Motagua 1-4 Cincinnati
Thursday, February 20 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, December 7 at 9pm in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York Red Bulls
55.81% ( -0.06)	22.88% ( 0.04)	21.32% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.11% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.47% (

-0.13)

45.52% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15% (

-0.13)

67.85% (

0.13)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.85% (

-0.07)

16.15% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.41% (

-0.13)

45.59% (

0.12)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.54% (

-0.05)

35.46% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77% (

-0.05)

72.23% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 55.81%

New York Red Bulls 21.32%

Draw 22.87%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 55.81%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.87%	0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 21.32%