Major League Soccer

Mar 2, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Spectrum Stadium

Orlando City
4 - 2
Toronto

Araujo (32', 32'), Freeman (35', 35'), Ojeda (63', 63'), Dan ThorÂhallsÂson (81', 81')
Santos (57'), Santos (57'), Atuesta (73'), Atuesta (73')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Rosted (72', 72'), Flores (86', 86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Orlando City 2-4 Philadelphia
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-2 Toronto
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Toronto
57.45% ( -0.58)	22.67% ( 0.13)	19.88% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 52.58% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.52% (

0.06)

46.48% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.24% (

0.05)

68.76% (

-0.05)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08% (

-0.17)

15.92% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.83% (

-0.32)

45.17% (

0.32)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.53% (

0.51)

37.47% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75% (

0.5)

74.25% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 57.45%

Toronto 19.88%

Draw 22.67%

Orlando City	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.45%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.67%	0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.61% Total : 19.88%