Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
2
4
HT : 2 2
FT Spectrum Stadium
  • Marco Pasalic 8' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 8' goal
  • Cesar Araujo 31' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 31' yellowcard
  • Marco Pasalic 79' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 79' goal
  • goal Tai Baribo 23'
  • goal Tai Baribo 23'
  • yellowcard Mikael Uhre 33'
  • yellowcard Mikael Uhre 33'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 48'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 48'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 51'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 51'
  • yellowcard Jovan Lukic 58'
  • yellowcard Jovan Lukic 58'
  • goal Tai Baribo 64'
  • goal Tai Baribo 64'

Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
Orlando City 1 - 2 Atlanta
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Martin Ojeda

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
Philadelphia 1 - 2 Cincinnati
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Tai Baribo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result

Orlando City 55.41% (-0.05)
Draw 23.03% (+0.02)
Philadelphia Union 21.55% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.93%

Goals

Over 2.5 54.07% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 45.93% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 31.76% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 68.24% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 15.9% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84.09% (+0.02)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 83.57% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 16.43% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 53.9% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 46.1% (+0.05)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 64.53% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.46% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.77% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.23% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Orlando City 55.41%
Draw 23.03%
Philadelphia Union 21.55%
Orlando City
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.72% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 55.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9%
0-0 @ 5.83% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.03%
Philadelphia Union
0-1 @ 6.04% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.65% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 21.55%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 19' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 19' yellowcard
  • Facundo Torres 57' goal
  • Facundo Torres 57' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 64' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 64' goal
  • Facundo Torres 69' yellowcard
  • Facundo Torres 69' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 68'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 72'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 72'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 74'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 74'
  • yellowcard Mikael Uhre 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mikael Uhre 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 12.30am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Subaru Park
  • Mikael Uhre 12' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 12' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 66' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 66' goal
  • Damion Lowe 81' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 81' yellowcard
  • goal Duncan McGuire 21'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 21'
  • goal Luis Muriel 42'
  • goal Luis Muriel 42'
  • goal Luis Muriel 46'
  • goal Luis Muriel 47'
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 87'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 87'
  • yellowcard Kyle Smith 89'
  • yellowcard Duncan McGuire 90'
  • yellowcard Kyle Smith 90'
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Duncan McGuire 13' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 13' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 54' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 54' goal
  • goal Jack McGlynn 60'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 60'
  • goal Jose Andres Martinez 90'
  • goal Jose Andres Martinez 90'
Major League Soccer
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Talen Energy Stadium
  • Andres Perea 17' goal
  • goal Martin Ojeda 2'
  • goal Ivan Angulo 9'
Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Olivier Mbaizo 39' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 43' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 55' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 63' goal
  • Jack Elliott 87' goal
  • goal Andres Perea 75'
Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ercan Kara 31' yellowcard
  • Joao Moutinho 37' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 8'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 39'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 44'