Major League Soccer

Feb 23, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Spectrum Stadium

Orlando City
2 - 4
Philadelphia

Pasalic (8', 8', 79', 79')
Araujo (31'), Araujo (31')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Baribo (23', 23', 64', 64'), Gazdag (48', 48'), Uhre (51', 51')
Uhre (33'), Uhre (33'), Lukic (58'), Lukic (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Orlando City 2-2 Inter Miami
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 Cincinnati
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Philadelphia Union
55.41% ( -0.05)	23.03% ( 0.01)	21.55% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 53.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.07% (

-0.02)

45.93% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.76% (

-0.02)

68.24% (

0.02)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.57% (

-0.03)

16.43% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.9% (

-0.05)

46.1% (

0.04)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.53% (

0.02)

35.46% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77% (

0.02)

72.23% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 55.41%

Philadelphia Union 21.55%

Draw 23.03%

Orlando City	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 55.41%	1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.03%	0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.55%