MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One

Nov 9, 2024 at 11pm UK

Orlando City Stadium

Orlando City
1 - 1
Charlotte FC

Torres (90+12')
Enrique (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Swiderski (81')
Agyemang (40'), Malanda (46'), Byrne (53'), Biel (83'), Bronico (84'), Urso (90+5')

Orlando City win 4-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Orlando City and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 Orlando City (3-1 pen.)
Friday, November 1 at 11.30pm in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Charlotte FC

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 Orlando City (3-1 pen.)
Friday, November 1 at 11.30pm in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Charlotte FC
61.73% ( 0)	20.53% ( 0.03)	17.75% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.88% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.78% (

-0.15)

40.22% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.41% (

-0.16)

62.59% (

0.16)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.47% (

-0.05)

12.54% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.43% (

-0.1)

38.57% (

0.11)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.89% (

-0.12)

36.11% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.11% (

-0.12)

72.89% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 61.73%

Charlotte FC 17.75%

Draw 20.53%

Orlando City	Draw	Charlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 3.65% Total : 61.73%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.53%	1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 17.75%