Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 47.77% ( | 24.79% ( | 27.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( | 48.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.78% ( | 70.22% ( |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% ( | 20.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.55% ( | 52.45% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% ( | 31.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.02% ( | 67.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 27.44% |