Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
4
3
HT : 6 2
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Karol Swiderski 8' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 8' goal
  • Liel Abada 16' yellowcard
  • Liel Abada 16' yellowcard
  • Dean Smith 17' yellowcard
  • Dean Smith 17' yellowcard
  • Junior Urso 30' goal
  • Junior Urso 30' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 45'+1' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 45'+1' goal
  • Liel Abada 58' goal
  • Liel Abada 58' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 69' yellowcard
  • Karol Swiderski 69' yellowcard
  • Kristijan Kahlina 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Kristijan Kahlina 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Fabian Herbers 25'
  • goal Fabian Herbers 25'
  • yellowcard Federico Navarro 64'
  • yellowcard Federico Navarro 64'
  • goal Kellyn Acosta 67'
  • goal Kellyn Acosta 67'
  • goal Tom Barlow 90'+3'
  • goal Tom Barlow 90'+3'

Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
Inter Miami 1 - 1 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 1.30am
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Toronto
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result

Charlotte FC 47.77% (+0.30)
Draw 24.79% (-0.06)
Chicago Fire 27.44% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.62% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.94% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 48.06% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 29.78% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 70.22% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.52% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 85.48% (-0.05)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 79.83% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 20.17% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 47.55% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 52.45% (-0.25)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 68.42% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 31.58% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 32.02% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 67.98% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Charlotte FC 47.76%
Draw 24.79%
Chicago Fire 27.44%
Charlotte FC
1-0 @ 10.19% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.16% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.02% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.36% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.74% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.79%
Chicago Fire
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.44%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Carlos Teran 34' yellowcard
  • Carlos Teran 34' yellowcard
  • Rafael Czichos 50' yellowcard
  • Rafael Czichos 50' yellowcard
  • goal Ashley Westwood 60'
  • goal Ashley Westwood 60'
  • yellowcard Patrick Agyemang 64'
  • yellowcard Patrick Agyemang 64'
  • yellowcard Brecht Dejaegere 73'
  • yellowcard Brecht Dejaegere 73'
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Soldier Field
  • Gaston Gimenez 61' yellowcard
  • Gaston Gimenez 61' yellowcard
  • Carlos Teran 80' yellowcard
  • Carlos Teran 80' yellowcard
  • goal Ashley Westwood 23'
  • goal Ashley Westwood 23'
  • goal Karol Swiderski 58'
  • goal Karol Swiderski 58'
  • yellowcard Derrick Jones 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Derrick Jones 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Kamil Jozwiak 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Kamil Jozwiak 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Brandon Cambridge 68' goal
  • Brandon Cambridge 81' goal
  • goal Kacper Przybylko 29'
Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2022 1.00am
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mauricio Pineda 3' goal
  • Jhon Duran 30' goal
  • goal Karol Swiderski 68'
  • goal Nuno Santos 76'
  • goal Karol Swiderski 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
Aug 7, 2022 12.00am
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Yordy Reyna 1' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 45' goal
  • McKinze Gaines 68' yellowcard
  • Derrick Jones 75' yellowcard
  • goal Kacper Przybylko 21'
  • goal Federico Navarro 24'
  • goal Kacper Przybylko 52'
  • yellowcard Kacper Przybylko 68'
  • yellowcard Boris Sekulic 71'
  • yellowcard Chris Mueller 78'