MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One

Oct 27, 2024 at 11.30pm UK

Orlando City Stadium

Orlando City
2 - 0
Charlotte FC

Torres (32'), Ojeda (77')
Cartagena (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Biel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Atlanta
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 0-3 Charlotte FC
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Charlotte FC
60.79% ( 0.08)	20.71% ( 0.1)	18.49% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 56.71% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.17% (

-0.78)

39.83% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.82% (

-0.82)

62.18% (

0.82)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.32% (

-0.22)

12.68% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.14% (

-0.45)

38.86% (

0.46)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.94% (

-0.66)

35.05% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.2% (

-0.7)

71.8% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 60.8%

Charlotte FC 18.49%

Draw 20.71%

Orlando City	Draw	Charlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 60.8%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.71%	1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.77% Total : 18.49%