Major League Soccer

Oct 5, 2024 at 9pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
0 - 1
Inter Miami

Longstaff (55'), Coello (77'), Rosted (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Campana (90+3')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-3 Inter Miami
Thursday, October 3 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Inter Miami
41.91% ( -3.13)	22.86% ( -0.02)	35.23% ( 3.15)

Both teams to score 65.53% (

1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.54% (

1.15)

35.46% (

-1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.5% (

1.26)

57.5% (

-1.26)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.48% (

-0.78)

17.52% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.96% (

-1.38)

48.04% (

1.38)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

2.22)

20.55% (

-2.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.94% (

3.4)

53.06% (

-3.4)

Score Analysis

Toronto 41.91%

Inter Miami 35.23%

Draw 22.86%

Toronto	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.37) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.46) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.24) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 41.91%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.86%	1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.39) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.46) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.32) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.28) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.23%