Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2024 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Matty Longstaff 55' yellowcard
  • Alonso Coello 77' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Rosted 79' yellowcard
  • goal Leonardo Campana 90'+3'

Toronto vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
Toronto 1 - 4 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 12.45am
Columbus Crew 2 - 3 Inter Miami
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Lionel Messi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result

Toronto 41.91% (-3.14)
Draw 22.86% (-0.02)
Inter Miami 35.23% (+3.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.53% (+1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.54% (+1.15)
Under 2.5 35.46% (-1.15)
Over 3.5 42.5% (+1.27)
Under 3.5 57.5% (-1.26)
Over 4.5 24.18% (+1.04)
Under 4.5 75.82% (-1.04)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 82.48% (-0.79)
Under 0.5 17.52% (+0.79)
Over 1.5 51.96% (-1.39)
Under 1.5 48.04% (+1.39)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 79.46% (+2.22)
Under 0.5 20.55% (-2.22)
Over 1.5 46.94% (+3.40)
Under 1.5 53.06% (-3.40)

Score analysis

Toronto 41.91%
Draw 22.86%
Inter Miami 35.23%
Toronto
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.37)
1-0 @ 6.27% (-0.55)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.63)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.35)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.46)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.22)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.25)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 41.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 6.84% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 3.6% (-0.22)
3-3 @ 2.09% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.86%
Inter Miami
1-2 @ 7.85% (+0.40)
0-1 @ 5.7% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.51% (+0.34)
1-3 @ 4.14% (+0.47)
2-3 @ 3.61% (+0.32)
0-3 @ 2.38% (+0.32)
1-4 @ 1.64% (+0.28)
2-4 @ 1.43% (+0.21)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 35.23%

Head to Head

Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2024 12.30am
4
3
HT : 6 4
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Matias Rojas 3' goal
  • Matias Rojas 3' goal
  • Diego Gomez 11' goal
  • Diego Gomez 11' goal
  • Luis Suarez 20' goal
  • Luis Suarez 20' goal
  • David Martinez 28' redcard
  • David Martinez 28' redcard
  • Matias Rojas 59' goal
  • Matias Rojas 59' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 84' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 84' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 15'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 15'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 41'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 41'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 43'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 43'
  • yellowcard Henry Wingo 54'
  • yellowcard Henry Wingo 54'
  • goal Noah Allen 79' (OG)
  • goal Noah Allen 79' (OG)
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Facundo Farias 45'+3' goal
  • Facundo Farias 45'+3' goal
  • Robert Taylor 54' goal
  • Robert Taylor 54' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 73' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 73' goal
  • Robert Taylor 87' goal
  • Robert Taylor 87' goal
Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Jonathan Osorio 48' goal
  • Mark-Anthony Kaye 69' goal
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2022 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 86'
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2022 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jean Mota 24' goal
  • Ariel Lassiter 44' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 28'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 56'