Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Mar 9, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 8' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 8' yellowcard
  • Matthew Edwards 40' yellowcard
  • Matthew Edwards 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 13'
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 13'
  • yellowcard Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'
  • yellowcard Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'

Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 7.15pm
Charlotte FC 2 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 2 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Atlanta United 52.74% ▲ (+0.46)
Draw 22.95% ▼ (-0.06)
New York Red Bulls 24.3% ▼ (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.75% ▼ (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.47% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 42.54% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 35.06% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 64.94% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 18.31% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 81.69% ▲ (+0.11)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 83.85% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 16.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 54.41% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 45.59% ▼ (-0.21)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 68.87% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 0.5 31.13% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 1.5 32.54% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 1.5 67.46% ▲ (+0.47)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 52.74%
Draw 22.95%
New York Red Bulls 24.3%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 52.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.95%
New York Red Bulls
1-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.3%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Carlos Coronel 70' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 70' yellowcard
  • Rob Valentino 71' yellowcard
  • Rob Valentino 71' yellowcard
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 75' goal
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 75' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 90'+7' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 32'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 32'
  • redcard Dylan Nealis 66'
  • redcard Dylan Nealis 66'
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 69'
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 69'
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 70'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 70'
  • yellowcard Carlos Coronel 70'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 70'
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 90'
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 90'
  • goal Serge Ngoma 90'+14'
  • goal Serge Ngoma 90'+14'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Sep 22, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 3 2
FT Red Bull Arena
Atlanta
  • 12' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 31' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 31' goal
  • Felipe Carballo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Carlos Coronel 72' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nealis 87' yellowcard
  • Elias Manoel 90'+7' goal
  • Elias Manoel 90'+7' goal
  • goal Aleksei Miranchuk 45'+3'
  • goal Aleksei Miranchuk 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Saba Lobzhanidze 68'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 90'+2'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Atlanta
  • Daniel Edelman 32' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 32' goal
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 45' goal
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 45' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 78' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 78' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 90' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 90' goal
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 7' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 8' goal
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
NY Red Bulls
  • Andrew Gutman 80' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 90'+5' goal
  • goal Lewis Morgan 11'
  • goal John Tolkin 15'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Patryk Klimala 66'
  • yellowcard Carlos Coronel 87'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Jul 1, 2022 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Atlanta
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 28' yellowcard
  • Aaron Long 42' yellowcard
  • Tom Edwards 51' yellowcard
  • Lewis Morgan 82' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 83' goal
  • Serge Ngoma 89' goal
  • yellowcard Amar Sejdic 22'
  • yellowcard Franco Ibarra 45'+3'
  • goal Josef Martinez 75'
  • yellowcard Rocco Rios Novo 82'

Form Data

Charlotte FC 2 - 0 Atlanta
Atlanta 3 - 2 Montreal
Orlando City 1 - 0 Atlanta
Inter Miami 2 - 3 Atlanta
Atlanta 2 - 1 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 2 - 1 Atlanta
NY Red Bulls 2 - 0 Nashville
Cincinnati 1 - 0 NY Red Bulls
LA Galaxy 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Orlando City 0 - 1 NY Red Bulls
NY City 0 - 2 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 2 - 2 Columbus Crew