MX23RW : Saturday, December 7 10:55:43| >> :60:178:178:
Atlanta United
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 2, 2024 at 11pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Inter Miami

Atlanta
2 - 1
Inter Miami

Williams (58'), Silva (90+4')
Hernandez (45+1'), Williams (63'), Slisz (90+3'), Silva (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (40')
Aviles (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-3 Inter Miami (Inter Miami wins series 2-0)

It has rarely been a straightforward victory for Miami, but their individual quality always seems to shine when needed, and we believe that alone will be enough to see them eliminate the Five Stripes this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.54%) and 1-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
52.12% (-0.386 -0.39) 21.34% (0.227 0.23) 26.54% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 66.04% (-0.69 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.32% (-0.96300000000001 -0.96)32.68% (0.969 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.64% (-1.124 -1.12)54.35% (1.129 1.13)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)12.89% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.71% (-0.92 -0.92)39.29% (0.925 0.93)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.401 -0.4)24.19% (0.407 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.47% (-0.57400000000001 -0.57)58.52% (0.58 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 52.12%
    Inter Miami 26.54%
    Draw 21.34%
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 6.39% (0.221 0.22)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 4.5% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-3 @ 1.09% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.209 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.159 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.34%
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.42% (0.175 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.025 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 26.54%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Inter Miami

Atlanta United
10.9%
Draw
15.6%
Inter Miami
73.4%
64
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 1.30am
Sep 19, 2024 12.30am
May 30, 2024 12.30am
Sep 16, 2023 10pm
Atlanta
5-2
Inter Miami
Muyumba (36'), Miller (41' og.), Lennon (44'), Giakoumakis (76'), Wolff (89')
Muyumba (29'), Abram (52')
Campana (25', 53')
Farias (57'), Stefanelli (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1484231151628
3Arsenal1484228141428
4Manchester CityMan City148242519626
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton146532320323
6Fulham146442119222
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest146441616022
8Aston Villa146442223-122
9Bournemouth146352119221
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1462628151320
11Brentford146262726120
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle145541717020
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd145451715219
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham144371827-915
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester143471928-913
17Crystal Palace142661218-612
18Ipswich TownIpswich141671325-129
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves142392236-149
20Southampton1412111130-195


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