Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
6
2
HT : 2 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Luis Suarez 40' goal
  • Luis Suarez 43' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 59' goal
  • Lionel Messi 79' goal
  • Lionel Messi 81' goal
  • Lionel Messi 89' goal
  • goal Luca Langoni 2'
  • goal Dylan Borrero 34'

Inter Miami vs New England Revolution - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 9.00pm
Toronto 0 - 1 Inter Miami
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Lionel Messi

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 13, 2024 12.30am
Columbus Crew 4 - 0 New England
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Giacomo Vrioni

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 62.07%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.07% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 3-1 (7.42%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (4.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result

Inter Miami 62.07% (-2.88)
Draw 18.85% (+0.75)
New England Revolution 19.07% (+2.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.91% (+1.63)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.23% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 29.77% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 49.09% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 50.91% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 29.91% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 70.09% (-0.19)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 90.65% (-0.60)
Under 0.5 9.35% (+0.61)
Over 1.5 68.5% (-1.45)
Under 1.5 31.5% (+1.45)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5 71.6% (+2.25)
Under 0.5 28.4% (-2.25)
Over 1.5 35.85% (+2.75)
Under 1.5 64.16% (-2.74)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 62.07%
Draw 18.85%
New England Revolution 19.07%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.50)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.23)
1-0 @ 6.29% (-0.24)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.58)
3-2 @ 4.67% (+0.15)
4-1 @ 4.39% (-0.27)
4-0 @ 3.49% (-0.45)
4-2 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.19)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.27)
5-2 @ 1.31% (-0.04)
4-3 @ 1.16% (+0.08)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 62.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.92% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 5.91% (+0.35)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.96% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 18.85%
New England Revolution
1-2 @ 4.98% (+0.42)
0-1 @ 3.34% (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.48% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 2.1% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 2.09% (+0.30)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 19.07%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
1
4
HT : 2 2
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Tomas Chancalay 1' goal
  • Tomas Chancalay 1' goal
  • goal Lionel Messi 32'
  • goal Lionel Messi 32'
  • goal Lionel Messi 67'
  • goal Lionel Messi 67'
  • goal Benjamin Cremaschi 83'
  • goal Benjamin Cremaschi 83'
  • goal Luis Suarez 88'
  • goal Luis Suarez 88'
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
3
1
HT : 4 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Carles Gil 27' goal
  • Carles Gil 27' goal
  • Matt Polster 34' goal
  • Matt Polster 34' goal
  • Bobby Wood 51' goal
  • Bobby Wood 51' goal
  • goal Josef Martinez 84'
  • goal Josef Martinez 84'
Major League Soccer
May 14, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • David Ruiz 6' goal
  • David Ruiz 6' goal
  • Josef Martinez 44' goal
  • Josef Martinez 44' goal
  • goal Carles Gil 26'
  • goal Carles Gil 26'
Major League Soccer
May 1, 2022 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Damien Rivera 1' goal
  • Adam Buksa 64' goal
  • Wilfrid Kaptoum 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregore 28'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 54'
  • yellowcard Jairo Quinteros 55'
  • redcard Damion Lowe 60'
  • redcard Jairo Quinteros 76'
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jean Mota 7' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Campana 17' goal
  • Leonardo Campana 23' goal
  • Damion Lowe 65' yellowcard
  • Gregore 65' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Campana 88' goal
  • Emerson Rodriguez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Justin Rennicks 11'
  • yellowcard Thomas McNamara 20'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Lletget 59'
  • goal Carles Gil 67'
  • yellowcard Frederick Kessler 82'
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 44
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Frederick Kessler 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brek Shea 49'
  • goal Blaise Matuidi 58'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 63'
  • yellowcard Rodolfo Pizarro 64'