Major League Soccer

Feb 23, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
3 - 2
Montreal

Latte Lath (41', 41', 63', 63'), Mosquera (85', 85')
Latte Lath (70'), Latte Lath (70'), Klich (80'), Klich (80'), Mosquera (90+1'), Mosquera (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Saliba (47', 47'), Osei Owusu (71', 71')
Opoku (34'), Opoku (34'), Saliba (80'), Saliba (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Orlando City 1-0 Atlanta
Sunday, November 24 at 8.30pm in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

CF Montreal

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Atlanta (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, October 23 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 22.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-2 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	CF Montreal
56.02% ( -0.12)	21.71% ( 0.02)	22.26% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 59.46% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.91% (

0.03)

39.09% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.58% (

0.04)

61.41% (

-0.04)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.13% (

-0.03)

13.87% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.74% (

-0.05)

41.26% (

0.05)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03% (

0.11)

30.97% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.73% (

0.13)

67.27% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 56.02%

CF Montreal 22.26%

Draw 21.71%

Atlanta United	Draw	CF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 56.02%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 22.26%