Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Montreal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 41' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 41' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 63' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 63' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 70' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 70' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 80' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 80' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 85' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 85' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Opoku 34'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Opoku 34'
  • goal Nathan Saliba 47'
  • goal Nathan Saliba 47'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 71'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 71'
  • yellowcard Nathan Saliba 80'
  • yellowcard Nathan Saliba 80'

Atlanta United vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
Orlando City 1 - 2 Atlanta
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
Montreal 2 - 0 NY City
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Prince Osei Owusu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 22.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-2 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result

Atlanta United 56.02% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 21.71% ▲ (+0.03)
CF Montreal 22.26% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.46% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 38.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 61.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.01% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 78.98% ▼ (-0.03)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 86.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 13.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 58.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 41.26% ▲ (+0.06)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 69.03% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 30.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 32.73% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 67.27% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 56.02%
Draw 21.71%
CF Montreal 22.26%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 56.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.71%
CF Montreal
1-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 22.26%

Head to Head

MLS Playoffs
Montreal
Oct 23, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 2
ET Stade Saputo
Atlanta
  • Josef Martinez 63' goal
  • Josef Martinez 89' goal
  • George Campbell 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Brooks Lennon 29'
  • goal Stian Rode Gregersen 44'
  • yellowcard Dax McCarty 82'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Montreal
  • Daniel Rios 45'+3' goal
  • Daniel Rios 45'+3' goal
  • Brooks Lennon 55' yellowcard
  • Brooks Lennon 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryce Duke 39'
  • yellowcard Bryce Duke 39'
  • goal Josef Martinez 43'
  • goal Josef Martinez 43'
  • goal Josef Martinez 76'
  • goal Josef Martinez 76'
  • yellowcard Nathan Saliba 82'
  • yellowcard Nathan Saliba 82'
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Jul 14, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
Atlanta
  • Ruan 51' goal
  • Ruan 51' goal
  • Raheem Edwards 53' yellowcard
  • Raheem Edwards 53' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 88' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 88' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 89' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 89' yellowcard
  • Nathan Saliba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nathan Saliba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 37'
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 37'
  • redcard Stian Rode Gregersen 55'
  • redcard Stian Rode Gregersen 55'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
4
1
HT : 4 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Montreal
  • Xande Silva 30' goal
  • Xande Silva 30' goal
  • Thiago Almada 33' goal
  • Thiago Almada 33' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 46' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 46' goal
  • Miles Robinson 65' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 65' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 89' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 89' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ahmed Hamdy 40'
  • goal Ahmed Hamdy 40'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 66'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 67'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choiniere 79'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choiniere 79'
  • redcard Joel Waterman 87'
  • redcard Joel Waterman 87'
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
Atlanta
  • goal Brooks Lennon 54'
  • goal Brooks Lennon 54'
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Apr 30, 2022 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Atlanta
  • Kamal Miller 4' goal
  • Rudy Camacho 10' yellowcard
  • Victor Wanyama 31' yellowcard
  • Ismael Kone 58' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Torres 81' goal
  • goal Marcelino Moreno 51'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Moreno 51'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 54'
  • yellowcard Franco Ibarra 76'

Form Data

Orlando City 1 - 0 Atlanta
Inter Miami 2 - 3 Atlanta
Atlanta 2 - 1 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 2 - 1 Atlanta
Montreal 2 - 2 Atlanta
Orlando City 1 - 2 Atlanta
Montreal 2 - 2 Atlanta
Montreal 2 - 0 NY City
Charlotte FC 2 - 0 Montreal
Atlanta 1 - 2 Montreal
Montreal 3 - 0 Earthquakes
Montreal 2 - 0 Chicago Fire