Major League Soccer
NY City
Mar 9, 2025 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
Orlando City
  • Alonso Martinez 59' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 59' goal
  • Maximiliano Moralez 66' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Moralez 66' yellowcard
  • Hannes Wolf 71' goal
  • Hannes Wolf 71' goal
  • Kevin O'Toole 77' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 77' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 86' redcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 86' redcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 60'
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 60'
  • goal Luis Muriel 69'
  • goal Luis Muriel 69'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 82'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 82'

New York City FC vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 3.30am
Los Angeles 1 - 0 NY City
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Alonso Martinez

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 12.30am
Orlando City 4 - 2 Toronto
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Martin Ojeda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New York City FC in this match.

Result

New York City FC 45.84% ▲ (+0.30)
Draw 22.78% ▼ (-0.17)
Orlando City 31.38% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.33% ▲ (+0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.58% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 2.5 36.42% ▼ (-0.73)
Over 3.5 41.44% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 3.5 58.56% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 4.5 23.31% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 4.5 76.69% ▼ (-0.65)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 83.63% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 0.5 16.37% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 54.01% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 1.5 45.99% ▼ (-0.71)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 76.92% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 0.5 23.08% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 1.5 43.08% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 1.5 56.91% ▼ (-0.40)

Score analysis

New York City FC 45.84%
Draw 22.77%
Orlando City 31.38%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 45.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.77%
Orlando City
1-2 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.38%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
NY City
  • Cesar Araujo 13' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 13' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Enrique 52' goal
  • Ramiro Enrique 52' goal
  • yellowcard James Sands 43'
  • yellowcard James Sands 43'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 57'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 57'
  • yellowcard Strahinja Tanasijevic 70'
  • yellowcard Strahinja Tanasijevic 70'
  • yellowcard Hannes Wolf 71'
  • yellowcard Hannes Wolf 71'
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
NY City
Jun 29, 2024 12.30am
4
2
HT : 6 0
FT Yankee Stadium
Orlando City
  • Santiago Rodriguez 15' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 15' goal
  • Hannes Wolf 45'+4' goal
  • Hannes Wolf 45'+4' goal
  • Agustin Ojeda 45'+11' goal
  • Agustin Ojeda 45'+12' goal
  • Thiago Martins 78' yellowcard
  • Matt Freese 78' yellowcard
  • Thiago Martins 78' yellowcard
  • Matt Freese 78' yellowcard
  • Monsef Bakrar 90'+4' goal
  • Monsef Bakrar 90'+4' goal
  • goal Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 72'
  • goal Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 72'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 90'+1'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
NY City
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Citi Field
Orlando City
  • Monsef Bakrar 37' goal
  • Monsef Bakrar 37' goal
  • Richard Ledezma 41' yellowcard
  • Richard Ledezma 41' yellowcard
  • Talles Magno 68' goal
  • Talles Magno 68' goal
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pereyra 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pereyra 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 54'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 54'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
May 18, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
NY City
  • Ercan Kara 7' goal
  • Ercan Kara 7' goal
  • goal Gabriel Segal 89'
  • goal Gabriel Segal 89'
Major League Soccer
NY City
Oct 2, 2022 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Orlando City
  • Alexander Callens 66' goal
  • Talles Magno 81' goal
  • goal Facundo Torres 47'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Aug 29, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
NY City
  • Junior Urso 7' goal
  • Antonio Carlos 50' yellowcard
  • Tesho Akindele 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 45'+1'
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 53'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 89'
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 90'+3'

Form Data

Los Angeles 1 - 0 NY City
Inter Miami 2 - 2 NY City
NY City 0 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Cincinnati 0 - 0 NY City
NY City 3 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 0 NY City
Orlando City 4 - 2 Toronto
Orlando City 2 - 4 Philadelphia
Orlando City 2 - 2 Inter Miami
Orlando City 0 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Orlando City 1 - 0 Atlanta
Orlando City 1 - 1 Charlotte FC