Major League Soccer

Mar 2, 2025 at 3.30am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
1 - 0
NY City

Hollingshead (86', 86')
Ordaz (57'), Ordaz (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Parks (41'), Parks (41'), Bakrar (45+1'), Bakrar (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 Colorado
Wednesday, February 26 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 NY City
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 57.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 19.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	New York City FC
57.84% ( -0.09)	22.4% ( 0.05)	19.76% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.25% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.51% (

-0.16)

45.49% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.17% (

-0.15)

67.82% (

0.15)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.55% (

-0.09)

15.45% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.7% (

-0.16)

44.3% (

0.16)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.98% (

-0.05)

37.01% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2% (

-0.05)

73.8% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 57.83%

New York City FC 19.76%

Draw 22.4%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 57.83%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.4%	0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.76%