Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 62.01% ( | 19.91% ( | 18.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.25% ( | 36.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.09% ( | 58.91% ( |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.6% ( | 11.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.84% ( | 36.15% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.34% ( | 33.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.69% ( | 70.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 2-0 @ 9.05% 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 3-1 @ 7.13% 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 3-2 @ 3.88% ( 4-1 @ 3.87% ( 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 4-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 5-0 @ 1.54% 5-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.54% Total : 62.01% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.91% | 1-2 @ 4.94% 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0-2 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.94% Total : 18.07% |