Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | New York City FC |
| 50.18% | 22.62% | 27.2% |
| Both teams to score 61.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.62% | 38.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.33% | 60.67% |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% | 15.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.53% | 44.47% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% | 26.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% | 61.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.84% Total : 50.18% | 1-1 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.15% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-1 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.59% 1-4 @ 0.98% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.2% |