Major League Soccer

Feb 23, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
2 - 2
NY City

Aviles (5', 5'), Segovia (90+10', 90+10')
Alba (24'), Alba (24'), Cremaschi (41'), Cremaschi (41'), Messi (90+15'), Messi (90+15')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Ilencic (26', 26'), Martinez (55', 55')
Tanasijevic (45+1'), Tanasijevic (45+1'), Freese (90+4'), Freese (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Kansas 0-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, February 20 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY City 0-2 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, November 23 at 10.30pm in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	New York City FC
41.83% ( -2.8)	24.15% ( 0.7)	34.02% ( 2.1)

Both teams to score 60.35% (

-1.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.9% (

-2.64)

42.09% (

2.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.5% (

-2.7)

64.5% (

2.7)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.68% (

-2.28)

20.31% (

2.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.31% (

-3.77)

52.69% (

3.77)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.73% (

-0.04)

24.27% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.37% (

-0.06)

58.63% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 41.83%

New York City FC 34.02%

Draw 24.15%

Inter Miami	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.48) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.34) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.93% Total : 41.83%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.15%	1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.79) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.55) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.02%