Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Tomas Aviles 5' goal
  • Tomas Aviles 5' goal
  • Tomas Aviles 23' redcard
  • Tomas Aviles 23' redcard
  • Jordi Alba 24' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 24' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 41' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 41' yellowcard
  • Telasco Segovia 90'+10' goal
  • Telasco Segovia 90'+10' goal
  • Lionel Messi 90'+15' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 90'+15' yellowcard
  • goal Mitja Ilencic 26'
  • goal Mitja Ilencic 26'
  • yellowcard Strahinja Tanasijevic 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Strahinja Tanasijevic 45'+1'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 55'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 55'
  • yellowcard Matt Freese 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Matt Freese 90'+4'

Inter Miami vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
Inter Miami 6 - 2 New England
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Lionel Messi

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
Montreal 2 - 0 NY City
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Alonso Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Inter Miami 41.83% (-2.80)
Draw 24.15% (+0.70)
New York City FC 34.02% (+2.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.35% (-1.77)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.9% (-2.65)
Under 2.5 42.09% (+2.65)
Over 3.5 35.5% (-2.71)
Under 3.5 64.5% (+2.71)
Over 4.5 18.64% (-2.08)
Under 4.5 81.36% (+2.08)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 79.68% (-2.29)
Under 0.5 20.31% (+2.29)
Over 1.5 47.31% (-3.77)
Under 1.5 52.69% (+3.77)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 75.73% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 24.27% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 41.37% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 58.63% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 41.83%
Draw 24.15%
New York City FC 34.02%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.22)
1-0 @ 7.86% (+0.38)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.48)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.35)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.34)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.35)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.25)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.25)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 41.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% (+0.52)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 4.93% (+0.57)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.15%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 7.88% (+0.36)
0-1 @ 6.98% (+0.79)
0-2 @ 4.94% (+0.56)
1-3 @ 3.72% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.33% (+0.26)
1-4 @ 1.32% (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.02%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Santiago Rodriguez 71' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 80' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 86' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 86' yellowcard
  • James Sands 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Ian Fray 64'
  • yellowcard Noah Allen 65'
  • yellowcard Jordi Alba 67'
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 68'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 68'
  • goal Leonardo Campana 75'
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Luis Suarez 14' goal
  • Julian Gressel 53' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sailor 62' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 80' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Strahinja Tanasijevic 33'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 34'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 88'
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 1.32am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 33' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 33' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 40' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 40' yellowcard
  • Facundo Farias 62' yellowcard
  • Facundo Farias 62' yellowcard
  • Serhiy Krivtsov 69' yellowcard
  • Serhiy Krivtsov 69' yellowcard
  • Dixon Arroyo 70' yellowcard
  • Dixon Arroyo 70' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 90'+5' goal
  • Tomas Aviles 90'+5' goal
  • Noah Allen 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Noah Allen 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Ledezma 52'
  • yellowcard Richard Ledezma 52'
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 77'
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 77'
  • yellowcard Andres Jasson 81'
  • yellowcard Andres Jasson 81'
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Christopher McVey 36' goal
MLS Playoffs
Oct 18, 2022 12.00am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gabriel Pereira 63' goal
  • Gabriel Pereira 63' goal
  • Maximiliano Moralez 69' goal
  • Heber 90'+2' goal
Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 1.00am
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Gregore 32' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 39' goal
  • Robert Taylor 48' yellowcard
  • Ariel Lassiter 63' goal
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 84' goal
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 84' yellowcard
  • goal Talles Magno 34'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morales 41'
  • goal Thiago Andrade 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Malte Amundsen 55'
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 77'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 86'