Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Sporting San Miguelito had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Sporting San Miguelito win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.