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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Portimonense

Rio Ave
2 - 0
Portimonense

Boateng (54'), Manuel (89')
Sa (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dener (76'), Ventura (78'), Pedrao (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, December 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, December 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 1-0 Portimonense

While Rio Ave have been far from impressive this season, they have been difficult to beat lately and were a tad unlucky not to have got anything away to Vitoria Guimaraes in their last match. Still, the hosts are unbeaten in their last three home games, and we fancy them to claim an important win to move out of the bottom three in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawPortimonense
55.06% (0.313 0.31) 24.01% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 20.93% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50% (-0.718 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (-0.688 -0.69)50.71% (0.689 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (-0.61 -0.61)72.61% (0.611 0.61)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-0.137 -0.14)18.3% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)49.37% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2% (-0.775 -0.77)38.79% (0.775 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.47% (-0.741 -0.74)75.53% (0.741 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 55.04%
    Portimonense 20.93%
    Draw 24.01%
Rio AveDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 12.05% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.8% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.46% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 55.04%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.194 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.045 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 20.93%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Portimonense

Rio Ave
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Portimonense
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Portimonense
2-2
Rio Ave
Junior (82', 90+7')
Patrick (19'), Costinha (74')
Oct 24, 2022 8.15pm
May 1, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 30
Portimonense
0-0
Rio Ave
Dener (89'), Ewerton (90+2')
Jan 8, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 13
Rio Ave
3-0
Portimonense
Pele (51' pen.), Meshino (54'), Mane (78')

Moufi (50'), Antonio (84'), Medeiros (86')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 31
Rio Ave
2-1
Portimonense
Taremi (35' pen.), Augusto (90')
Piazon (90+3')
Vaz Te (6')
Jadson (34'), Possignolo (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


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