Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2023 at 12pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
0 - 2
Brest

Lafont (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Magnetti (49'), Mounie (57')
Camara (28'), Le Douaron (86'), Satriano (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 0-1 Brest
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

In the midst of a fine run of form, Brest certainly pose a major threat to Nantes, but the hosts have looked much-improved under new management and put up two impressive displays against high-flying opposition. With home advantage, we fancy Gourvennec's men to take a creditable share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Brest
39.2% ( 0.35)	26.91% ( -0.14)	33.88% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 50.96% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.79% (

0.53)

54.21% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.38% (

0.44)

75.61% (

-0.44)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

0.45)

27% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.64% (

0.58)

62.35% (

-0.59)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.8% (

0.13)

30.19% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.65% (

0.15)

66.35% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Nantes 39.2%

Brest 33.88%

Draw 26.91%

Nantes	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.2%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.88%