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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Nantes

Brest
1 - 1
Nantes

Chardonnet (67')
Herelle (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kolo (10')
Chirivella (43'), Castelletto (70'), Da Silva (90+4')

Preview: Brest vs. Nantes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides batting in the middle of the Ligue 1 table will square off on Sunday, as Brest entertain Nantes.

Having both enjoyed wins last weekend, they have climbed to 12th and eighth spots respectively in the French top flight.


Match preview

Nantes' Quentin Merlin celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on February 19, 2022© Reuters

While they have not enjoyed much consistency throughout the season, aside from a strong run in the lead up to the new year, Brest have established themselves in mid-table in Ligue 1.

They headed into a meeting with Montpellier last weekend on the back of consecutive defeats and with just one victory from their previous five outings, but Michel Der Zakarian's side were able to return to winning ways.

Martin Satriano broke the deadlock in the 70th minute, and Franck Honorat doubled their lead 10 minutes later, with the hosts' 94th-minute penalty coming too late to force a share of the spoils.

That saw Les Pirates climb to 12th spot in Ligue 1, a notable improvement on last season's 17th-placed finish, and they will be keen to continue a rise with a second straight win at the weekend.

Brest coach Michel Der Zakarian on March 13, 2022© Reuters

They welcome a Nantes side who also got back to winning ways at the weekend, strengthening their position in the top half.

Following a 2-0 win over Montpellier, Les Canaris suffered consecutive narrow defeats at the hands of Troyes and Lille before facing a trip to Clermont last time out.

That game was level at 2-2 after goals from Ludovic Blas and Pedro Chirivella were cancelled out, and Randal Kolo Muani restored his side's lead with 20 minutes to go to ensure they left with all three points.

As a result, Antoine Kombouare's have climbed up to eighth spot, and, with Monaco and Lille only one point ahead, they will look to push for a spot in the top six with a second straight win on their travels.

Brest Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Nantes Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Nantes form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Randal Kolo Muani in action for Nantes in January 2022© Reuters

While Brest have no long-term injuries of note, the fitness of midfielder Youcef Belaili and forward Jeremy Le Douaron are unclear, and they may be slowly eased back into action if deemed able to make the squad.

The duo of Martin Satriano and Franck Honorat should again be deployed in attack, after both got on the scoresheet in last weekend's win.

Striker Steve Mounie was reduced to a substitute appearance in that game, and he could again have to settle for a cameo as a result.

Nantes will likely remain without Nicolas Pallois, Charles Traore and Marcus Coco due to injuries, while Samuel Moutoussamy could again miss out.

While Les Canaris are unlikely to make many changes from the weekend's starting XI, winger Moses Simon should come in from the outset, having contributed three goals and seven assists in Ligue 1 this season.

He may support striker Randal Kolo Muani, who netted the winner last time out, while Ludovic Blas is another goal threat going forward.

Brest possible starting lineup:
Bizot; Duverne, Chardonnet, Herelle, Brassier; Faussurier, Belkebla, Lasne, Del Castillo; Satriano, Honorat

Nantes possible starting lineup:
Lafont; Castelletto, Girotto, Appiah; Fabio, Cyprien, Chirivella, Merlin; Blas, Muani, Simon


SM words green background

We say: Brest 1-2 Nantes

In what will be a closely-fought game that could definitely go either way, we just give the edge to the visitors.

Nantes have more to play for in the final run of the season, and they will hope to give their unlikely top-six bid another boost with a three-point haul.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



ID:482829:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9087:
Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Brest vs Nantes

Brest
19.5%
Draw
29.3%
Nantes
51.2%
41
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FT
Rams
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Toulouse156361717021
9Auxerre146262121020
10Reims145452018219
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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