League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Mar 29, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
0 - 1
Port Vale

Demetriou (46'), Williams (51'), Holicek (59'), Sanders (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stockley (86')
Clark (42'), Sang (72'), Shorrock (90+3')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 22 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Barrow
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Port Vale
34.97% ( 0.12)	27.09% ( 0)	37.95% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 50.56% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.22% (

-0.01)

54.78% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.91% (

-0.01)

76.09% (

0.01)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21% (

0.07)

29.79% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

0.08)

65.86% (

-0.08)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.01% (

-0.07)

27.99% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.37% (

-0.09)

63.62% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 34.96%

Port Vale 37.94%

Draw 27.08%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.96%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.94%