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Championship header 2

League Two

Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Port Vale

Crewe
0 - 1
Port Vale


Demetriou (46'), Williams (51'), Holicek (59'), Sanders (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stockley (86')
Clark (42'), Sang (72'), Shorrock (90+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 22 at 12.30pm in League Two

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Barrow
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawPort Vale
34.97% (0.118 0.12)27.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.95% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.22% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)54.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)76.09% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (0.070999999999998 0.07)29.79% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (0.083999999999996 0.08)65.86% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)27.99% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)63.62% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 34.96%
    Port Vale 37.94%
    Draw 27.08%
Crewe AlexandraDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0039999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 34.96%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 37.94%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 17
Port Vale
1-1
Crewe
Shorrock (3')
Hart (14'), Harper (32'), Croasdale (90+2')
Harper (48')
Lankester (90+2')
Cooney (65')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
1-0
Crewe
Garrity (18')
Shorrock (47'), Lowe (78'), Clark (90+8')

Booth (33'), Cooney (68')
Cooney (90+8')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Port Vale
0-0
Crewe
(Aggregate 0-0 | Port Vale win 2-0 on penalties)
Garrity (28'), Cass (54'), Iacovitti (72'), Devine (84')
Thomas (24'), Williams (29'), Powell (78'), Nevitt (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 41
Port Vale
P-P
Crewe
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crewe
0-1
Port Vale
Taylor (61')
Legge (80'), Brown (93')