/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Ffleelog.png)
-
Connor O'Riordan
55'
-
Chris Long
90'+1'
-
Ryan Graydon
11'
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Louie Marsh
33'
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Rhys Bennett
79'
-
Phoenix Patterson
89'
Crewe Alexandra vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Flee-bell.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result
Crewe Alexandra
43.51%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
26.92%
▼
(-0.01)
Fleetwood Town
29.57%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
49.43%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.54%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
55.46%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
23.35%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
76.65%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
10.33%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
89.67%
▼
(-0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5
74.71%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
25.29%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
39.94%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
60.05%
▼
(-0.04)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5
66.15%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
33.84%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
29.49%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
70.51%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Crewe Alexandra
43.5%
Draw
26.91%
Fleetwood Town
29.57%
Crewe Alexandra
1-0
@
11.76%
2-1 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.5%
2-1 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.5%
Draw
1-1
@
12.74%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.91%
0-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.91%
Fleetwood Town
0-1
@
9.27%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.57%
1-2 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.57%