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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 43.51% ( | 26.92% ( | 29.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% ( | 55.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( | 76.65% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( | 25.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.94% ( | 60.05% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( | 33.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.49% ( | 70.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 4-0 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.57% |